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Comparing young Caruana's development to Sevian and Xiong

- posted May 23, 2016, 12:14 AM

 

For any player who grew up in the United States, it is quite easy to pull up their entire tournament history on the USCF website and parse the data. First, an overview of Fabiano Caruana's progress as a youngster. You'll find nothing earth-shattering here. Nobody will be surprised that Caruana started young, played a lot of chess as a kid, and that his rating shot up quickly. Keep in mind these are USCF ratings which tend to be slightly higher than FIDE.

FABIANO CARUANA
Age Rated events played Rating at end of year Notes
5 3 584
6 77 1279  
7 74 1542  
8 100 1926  
9 155 2067  
10 154 2134  
11 118 2264  
12* 49+ 2364 Moved to Italy
13 9+ 2457  
14 6+ 2569  
15 7+ 2672  

 

Two of the strongest juniors in the world right now are fellow Americans Samuel Sevian and Jeffery Xiong. Here are their charts compared to Caruana's.

SAMUEL SEVIAN
Age Rated events played End of year rating
5 11 886
6 24 1453
7 32 1889
8 28 2123
9 29 2206
10 18 2299
11 15 2471
12 9 2485
13 15 2626
14 13 2671

 

 

JEFFERY XIONG
Age Rated events played End of year rating
6 9 1229
7 38 1722
8 38 2062
9 44 2153
10 31 2337
11 30 2434
12 34 2454
13 36 2569
14 37 2639

 

Two things about Caruana's successors: they got better at a younger age than Caruana, and they did it while playing considerably fewer events. This is an analysis of so few players that one probably shouldn't really act like the data means much. And if it means anything, it's probably just a rather simple conclusion: modern youngsters likely supplement their tournament play with online play more than ever before. Again, nothing earth-shattering. But I thought the huge disparity in numbers was interesting, along with Caruana's prodigious (!) amount of rated play in general.